CME's "FedWatch": The Probability of the Fed Keeping Rates Unchanged in May Is 99.4%

CME的“联邦观察”：美联储在五月保持利率不变的概率为99.4%

moomoo资讯 · 05/02 21:29

After the release of non-farm payroll data, the probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates unchanged in May rose to nearly 100%. According to CME's "FedWatch": The probability of the Fed keeping rates unchanged in May is 99.4% (up from 95.3% before the release), with a 0.6% chance of a 25 basis point rate cut. The probability of the Fed maintaining rates unchanged by June is 53.8%, with a 45.9% chance of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut, and a 0.3% probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut.

在非农就业数据发布后，美联储在5月维持利率不变的概率上升至接近100%。根据CME的“FedWatch”：美联储在5月维持利率不变的概率为99.4%（比发布前的95.3%上升），有0.6%的概率会降息25个基点。到6月，美联储维持利率不变的概率为53.8%，有45.9%的概率累计降息25个基点，累计降息50个基点的概率为0.3%。

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CME's "FedWatch": The Probability of the Fed Keeping Rates Unchanged in May Is 99.4%

CME's "FedWatch": The Probability of the Fed Keeping Rates Unchanged in May Is 99.4%

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CME's "FedWatch": The Probability of the Fed Keeping Rates Unchanged in May Is 99.4%

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