CME's "FedWatch": The Probability of the Fed Keeping Rates Unchanged in May Is 99.4%

CME的「聯邦觀察」：聯儲局在五月保持利率不變的概率爲99.4%

moomoo資訊 · 05/02 06:29

After the release of non-farm payroll data, the probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates unchanged in May rose to nearly 100%. According to CME's "FedWatch": The probability of the Fed keeping rates unchanged in May is 99.4% (up from 95.3% before the release), with a 0.6% chance of a 25 basis point rate cut. The probability of the Fed maintaining rates unchanged by June is 53.8%, with a 45.9% chance of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut, and a 0.3% probability of a cumulative 50 basis point rate cut.

在非農就業數據發佈後，聯儲局在5月維持利率不變的概率上升至接近100%。根據CME的「FedWatch」：聯儲局在5月維持利率不變的概率爲99.4%（比發佈前的95.3%上升），有0.6%的概率會減息25個點子。到6月，聯儲局維持利率不變的概率爲53.8%，有45.9%的概率累計減息25個點子，累計減息50個點子的概率爲0.3%。

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