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Goldman Sachs outlook for the May Federal Reserve meeting: the threshold for interest rate cuts is higher than in 2019, and it is necessary to wait for employment and other hard data to weaken.
Analysts including Jan Hatzius from Goldman Sachs have stated that inflation and inflation expectations based on surveys are currently much higher, and decision-makers need to see more compelling evidence of an economic slowdown before taking action. The strongest argument for interest rate cuts would be if Federal Reserve officials believe that data indicates the unemployment rate may continue to rise, which means that other signs such as rising unemployment, weak wage growth, and companies becoming cautious or weak demand growth need to be observed.
Trump's "interest rate cut dream" may be shattered? JPMorgan: The Federal Reserve is in a dilemma and reluctant to take any rash action!
① JPMorgan pointed out that despite President Trump's call for the Federal Reserve to lower interest rates, the Federal Reserve may not lower rates at this week's policy meeting, and the likelihood of rate cuts in subsequent meetings is also low; ② Federal Reserve officials face dilemmas in monetary policy, mainly due to rising inflation expectations and the economy's recession not yet being absorbed by the market.
Before the Federal Reserve announces its interest rate decision, traders' expectations for a rate cut have cooled: betting on only three times this year.
Traders bet that the Federal Reserve will need to wait longer to continue lowering interest rates.
As the Federal Reserve holds its policy meeting, uncertainty looms. What does the future hold?
The Federal Reserve will make a highly anticipated policy decision on Wednesday, and currently it has ample reason to maintain the status quo and take no action.
Powell Unlikely to Offer Much Clarity -- Market Talk
The trade deficit in the USA has expanded to a record level.
Due to companies rushing to increase imports before the Trump administration implemented widespread tariff policies, the USA trade deficit expanded to a record level in March.