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wallstreetcn21:36 ET

Comments

Derpy Trades

36 minutes ago

$SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY.US)$ $Invesco QQQ Trust (QQQ.US)$ With what I'm seeing, ~565-570 on SPY and ~485-490 on QQQ look like the next supply zones.
Until proven otherwise, the symmetrical triangles I shared over the past few weeks are in play, which would explain the seemingly irrational bullishness. IF they are, SPY and QQQ are only about halfway to target.
SPY came down and touched the previous descending resistance line from Feb 21st and confirmed it as strong support today. QQQ had already rete...

Fed's decision eve: What signals will core PCE, PMI and non-farm payrolls release?

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Bobi2206

54 minutes ago

$SPDR S&P 500 ETF (SPY.US)$ how is this so strong yet big tech is slow

The Warlock

1 hour ago

hey all. I'm going to provide a small write up because I've been drinking too many celebratory beers. (Industrial Arts - Wrench)
TRADING SPY is essentially trading the market as a whole. But there are some interesting things to note:
1.) During volatile periods (when 20-day volatility exceeds 20%), traditional fundamental indicators significantly underperform sentiment-based signals.
The data shows market psychology dominates during volatility, not underlying fundamentals.
Guiding your decisio...

Fed's decision eve: What signals will core PCE, PMI and non-farm payrolls release?

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102641497 : Thanks for the advice, I won’t hold you responsible for any outcomes but I’ll consider it deeply.

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103221239 : Thanks. Where or how to check the 20-day volatility percentage, Is it VIX or MA or some readings in the platform? :p

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jhays : damn for having some brews you can fkn write

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The Warlock OP 103221239 : okay I'm dictating this so if there is a weird misspellings I'm sorry but to calculate a 20-day volatility is a bit of a process however you can use software or just kind of write your own scripts the idea is to collect the daily price data calculate those daily returns the percentages change from the previous day you compute the standard deviation of those returns and then you use a 20-day rolling window annualize it by multiplying the square root of 252 that's the number of trading days in the year convert percentage so for instance spies volatility despite dramatically in April one from 20% to well over 50% in a short period globality is something like 10 to 15% medium volatility is 15 to 25% and high volatility is over 25%. when spy is at a 50 4% plus volatility this is when you rely on market sentiment

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SKYWalkers : I take your advice not to take your advice, that's the best advice!
I have been saying for years, don't listen to anyone's advice, not economists, not analysts, listen only to your own, it doesn't mean you are stubborn, no, it means, you need to understand what those people are saying, do your research, form your thesis, test them out, question yourself if it's wrong, retest, reform your thesis, and when it works, stick with it, but be prepared to tweak it when time changes (many stuff already don't work since 2012), nothing remains correct all the time, but only listen to your own conviction.
if you don't have conviction in what you are doing, don't invest, you are throwing money away, better to put your money in bank time deposit.

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