Stocks held higher ground in overnight trading despite clear evidence of slowing growth in the world’s two major economies. Weaker US growth and slumping manufacturing in China had little impact as investors appeared to focus on a drop in inflation and the potential for the US Federal Reserve to reduce interest rates. US GDP contracted in the first quarter of 2025 by 0.3%, well below forecasts of growth at 0.3%. Less than two ...
Space Dust
:
Good Day Sir, I have a weird idea that someone of your stature may be able to shed light on, and provide some sort of navigation buoy in this deep, thick mist we are in. Is there some sort of way to conceptualize or visualize how inverse/short ETFS have, in a very positive way, possibly skewed downturns: 1. under the surface was worse once these are factored out. 2. a metric to know if we are in the calm, eye of the storm, or what 3. In the 'old days' of corrections, money just EVAPORATED, noone was really buying as much so this led to bigger losses. 4. Now, retail piles into short ETFs so in a way, that NASDAQ only went down 15% instead of typically 30%. Money into the markets, as a ballast against the selling. 5. If this hair brained idea held water, then human nature needs to know. Many would feel differently and some would be more at ease, that a "huge" loss has passed over. Clear skies ahead . meaning, instead of a 25% drawdown post tariff. it was more like 37% had retail not piled into inverse ETFs. Many would feel less skittish maybe if some type of " without inverse " overlay was applied to charts? as a recovering contrarian bottom fisherman like me, at least.
Michael McCarthy CEO
OPSpace Dust
:
Fascinating idea. Certainly could be a contributor. The biggest market moves are due to surprise - a sudden change in the outlook. Part of that has to do with underlying "facts", and part of it is due to the interpretation of those facts. This may mean that the availability of short instruments has more participants considering the downside, meaning downside surprises have less impact and are therefore shallower.
US shares rallied in overnight trading as President Trump eased tariffs on automotive makers. The lift in markets brings them close to levels seen just before the “Liberation Day” introduction of tariff, completing a round trip for markets. However strong remarks from President Xi, doubts from corporate America and weakness in copper and oil markets suggest the current rally is fueled by optimism rather than fact. $Nasdaq Composite Index (.IXIC.US)$ Headlines overnigh...
bullbearnme
:
1) China Sovereign Fund Cuts US Private Assets Amid Trade War Risk 2) Whole economy is not just looking at Car Tariff, each are dependant on others as money exchanges between industries. 3) The whole market is crashing because of Trump Tariff. Memoirs of Black Monday 1987 - Reagan Tariff on Japan.
A compelling picture is emerging on the$S&P/ASX 200 (.XJO.AU)$chart. The index is approaching a crucial chart point at 8,060 just as Australian voters prepare to go the polls on Saturday. The positioning of the index indicates a potentially huge market reaction to the election result – in contrast to polls that show a Labor victory is increasingly likely. The chart point would draw traders’ attention even without the backdrop of a federal electi...
TWIMO (151403908)
:
Wow! Fascinating chart… I always wondered if decision maker’s reacts to the charts or the charts depicts their actions. I hope it is the latter because we need confident leaders. Anyways, I reckon neither party’s able to influence the market. Just don’t be as reckless as Morrison government damaging the wine and seafood industry…
Michael McCarthy CEO
OPTWIMO (151403908)
:
it's a fascinating question, and it's amazing the number of times that technical analysis has forecast a market surprise. A colleague once wrote an article called "Is Fibonacci a member of the FOMC?" (The Fed's decision-making group) after the USD/JPY charts predicted a surprise Fed move. Chicken and egg?
TWIMO (151403908)
Michael McCarthy CEO
OP
:
Please tell us which is the more likely one trader that I follow decided to Call on SPY and a few mag 7 stocks at that extreme oversell 2 weeks ago…. She got some real pleading and criticism for challenging markets seemingly searching for the bottom… boy did she call it correct…. all based on reading the technicals…. amazing…
Michael McCarthy CEO
OPTWIMO (151403908)
:
It's an important principle - those seeking better than average returns must go against the crowd, at least some of the time.
• US markets: The Nasdaq 100 is up 15.9% from its April 7 low. Since then, market fear the VIX has fallen to 25, down from its peak of 60 (which it last hit during COVID). • Aussie markets: The Australian share market is up 8.9% from its low. Gold producers dim yearly production, implying more upside for gold. • Stocks to watch: Fortescue, Northern Star and Ramelius, Woodside, Visa, Coca-Cola. And XYZ, Microsoft, Met...
-Leprechaun-
TWIMO (151403908)
:
i think today’s bulls might have foot and mouth disease. yea they’re bulls but we’re going to have to take em out back and shoot em lol.
TWIMO (151403908)
-Leprechaun-
:
Too much data? We’ll need to remove the noisy bits. I can’t wait for Ms. Amir’s reply. Just to divert a little, I noticed a pattern in Finance/trading experts on Youtube. When the market is up, they tend to recommend stocks, blow own horns, predict and dare viewers to be the next millionaire. However, when the market is down, they advocate being long term investors, quote names of famous investors, steer clear of addressing the stocks that were recommended.
The last week of the Federal election campaign is showing signs of springing to life. A restrained and dour campaign, dominated by a politician who’s not on the ballot paper, has so far lacked any policy heft or depth. The existential threat to the major parties has forced the discussion to a populist middle which is neither worthy nor particularly interesting. One possibility is a dull week and a limp into Saturday’s vote. However polls this morning showed the Coalition fal...
• US markets: The Nasdaq 100 rose 6.4% last week, the S&P 500 gained 4.6%. Tesla gained 18%, Nvidia 9.4%, with big tech businesses affirming they’re still prepared to spend billions on AI GPUs. • Aussie markets: Paladin surged 21% last week, Deep Yellow gained 13%, Boss Energy rose 10%. Seems investors are betting the Liberals could win the election in five more sleeps, and usher in a nuclear power policy • Stocks to watch: Lynas, Yancoal,...
Local and global influences are combining to drive a highly volatile investment environment for Australian investors. Trump tariffs, recession threats, a Federal election, uncertain central banks, vigilante bond traders, surging gold prices and nervous energy markets, have all contributed to the change in share market conditions. Perhaps the most important piece of information displayed on the daily chart of the$S&P/ASX 200 (.XJO.AU)$(below) i...
Uranium investors are delivering a verdict on the Australian federal Election – and its bad news for the Coalition. When the prospects for Peter Dutton’s led conservative party were increasing at the end of 2024 and the beginning of this year there was clear support for uranium stocks. However the turn in political momentum that now favors Labor and The Greens has accompanied a decline in uranium stocks. Markets are linear – the price of a stock or an index ca...
TWIMO (151403908)
:
Please build more homes. Have study trips to Singapore please. Corporates will figure out how to profit, turnaround, merge etc…. forever home owners will like gradual appreciation, investors may cut losses and sell to more appreciative new owners and a generation of citizens will silently smile… can’t use the word grateful
Michael McCarthy CEO
OPTailgunner75
:
Perhaps it could have been clearer that the article is talking about Paladin Australia? From a 2024 high at $17.98 hit a low at $3.93 on April 9? That stock?
Space Dust : Good Day
Sir,
I have a weird idea that someone of your stature may be able to shed light on, and provide some sort of navigation buoy in this deep, thick mist we are in.
Is there some sort of way to conceptualize or visualize how inverse/short ETFS have, in a very positive way, possibly skewed downturns:
1. under the surface was worse once these are factored out.
2. a metric to know if we are in the calm, eye of the storm, or what
3. In the 'old days' of corrections, money just EVAPORATED, noone was really buying as much so this led to bigger losses.
4. Now, retail piles into short ETFs so in a way, that NASDAQ only went down 15% instead of typically 30%. Money into the markets, as a ballast against the selling.
5. If this hair brained idea held water, then human nature needs to know. Many would feel differently and some would be more at ease, that a "huge" loss has passed over. Clear skies ahead .
meaning, instead of a 25% drawdown post tariff. it was more like 37% had retail not piled into inverse ETFs.
Many would feel less skittish maybe if some type of " without inverse " overlay was applied to charts?
as a recovering contrarian bottom fisherman like me, at least.
Michael McCarthy CEO OP Space Dust : Fascinating idea. Certainly could be a contributor. The biggest market moves are due to surprise - a sudden change in the outlook. Part of that has to do with underlying "facts", and part of it is due to the interpretation of those facts. This may mean that the availability of short instruments has more participants considering the downside, meaning downside surprises have less impact and are therefore shallower.