SPY at 590: Calm on the Surface, Gamma Storm Beneath ⸻ Markets enter Wednesday with SPY trading just below 590, brushing up against a wall of gamma resistance and fragile sentiment. While futures print green, the real story lies underneath. ⸻ 1. Bond Market: Quiet Repricing Continues • 2Y Futures Yield: 3.968% • 10Y Futures Yield: 4.473% • The bond market is quietly repricing rate expectations back upward after CPI, even as equities ignore it. ⸻ 2. Gamma Wall: 590–591 Is No-Man’s Lan...
Sumgai
Shadow Monarch Fredo
OP
:
Hm. Thanks for the advice. I’ll go analyse why you said that and figure it out. I was going to hold until friday anyway but it’s good to have someone more experienced than me giving advice.
卡波猫
:
Way too many good news, market has turned bullish and this is the start of it and probably will shoot up till last ATH before it stops, hopefully it retrace to 578 as I shorted spx
biilie
OPCaptainBoi
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Hopefully we won't have a tragedy like '08, when the stock market went into a nearly year-long bear market during the last Trump administration.
CaptainBoi
biilie
OP
:
Well we had two seperate bear markets during his term. The first announcement of the trade war in 2018, then we had covid in 2022 and he lack of government response. Mostly stimulus checks but yeah. Calm before the storm maybe? A fail auction is the next thing to look out for, but the fed might cut rates or step in and kick the can to next year or in 2027. The bond markets are telling congress to force budget cuts because new issurance of bonds will double our debt in the next 10-15 years. So wait until July maybe
biilie
OPCaptainBoi
:
Mr Buffett's exit from the stock market scares me because every time he leaves the stock market, something terrible happens to it, and again, he's not an outdated character.
CaptainBoi
biilie
OP
:
Buffet is retiring man. It’s obvious that he’s going to want to be more cash heavy at these expensive levels. If you’re an investor you would of bought 2 weeks ago. These still more room to go hut the future is a bit bleek rn. In the mean time there is a trade deal announced tomorrow so it will probably green regardless
We saw the stock market in mixed sentiment, with S&P 500 climbed 0.72% while the Nasdaq Composite rose 1.61%, building on the week's earlier successes. DJIA did not participate in the rally, declined by 0.64% instead dragged by UnitedHealth's (UNH) steep decline of 17.8%. UNH’s stock dipped significantly after CEO Andrew Witty announced his resignation for personal reasons, and the firm suspended its 2025 guidance, citing unexpected inc...
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Tankyy : LOL theyre buying the dip in not the stock but there option price